Thursday, January 23, 2020

#GROUNDHOGDAY & #IOWACAUCUS--Punxsutawney Phil's Campaign Predictions--EXCLUSIVE LEAKED REPORT


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This Just In ( 01.25.20/1630PST):   DM Register Endorses Warren:

#IOWACAUCUS---The Des Moines Register Endorsement---AFTERBATH & SHELL SHOCK

IMMEDIATE RELEASE///@CD/TACNET VIA JC//AMBUSH//EOC//UNCLASSIFIED "...now an entirely different story about shell-shocked WIAs is hitting the wire..." (The Den @ UNR)--The results are in, the news is out, and the editorial board has decided, here are the highlights of who didn't get the call-- Joe Biden lacks "specific expertise" on income inequality issues and doesn't have a bold enough vision.

     (The Den@UNR)--Countdown has already begun for two important events the first week of February and EOC has just been given the inside scoop on who's not going to see their shadow in Des Moines.  Punxsutawney Phil is expected to announce the official winner(s) of the Iowa Caucus the day before but word has already leaked out from sources close to the event, remaining anonymous for security purposes. The source has also explained the methodology used to arrive at the conclusion.

     Beginning with the most recent poll of the Democratic candidates, the graph at The Des Moines Register places Senator Sanders in the pole position, making a dramatic comeback following a crash and burn back in March of last year, and didn't begin a recovery until September. What precipitated this dramatic fall, as seen in the graph, was probably related to news stories circulating at the time.


     The first week of March, Sanders filed to run as a Democrat and an Independent, as reported by Domenico Montanaro  at NPR;
     "The new DNC rules state that a candidate must 'be a bona fide Democrat whose record of public service, accomplishment, public writings, and/or public statements affirmatively demonstrates that the candidate is faithful to the interests, welfare, and success of the Democratic Party of the United States'." (NPR)


     Bernie found himself in trouble over that very issue during his most recent re-election to Congress for Vermont. In 2018, for the US Senate, he took 94 percent of the vote against Folasade Adeluola, who claimed Bernie party-jumped to retain his seat, Jack Thurston reported for NBC Boston;
     "NBC 10 Boston and necn (sp?) obtained the formal complaint Adeluola filed this week with the Vermont Secretary of State’s office, in which she alleges Sanders is trying to 'game' the system—claiming his 'pattern of infidelity' to the Vermont Democratic Party has corrupted the process." (NBC)
    A month later, an article published in Forbes  by reporter Chase Peterson-Withorn reflected the so-called "Socialist Senator's" finances, certainly not one as to what would be expected;
     "Sanders, 77, has, in fact, amassed an estimated $2.5 million fortune from real estate, investments, government pensions—and earnings from three books, including the 2016 hit Our Revolution: A Future to Believe In. 'I wrote a best-selling book. If you write a best-selling book, you can be a millionaire, too.' " (Forbes)
     Marx would be furious to hear how the Senator exploited the capitalist system while professing himself a champion of the underdog (or is that underhog?). Either way, such nuances in his character certainly could not have helped his campaign a great deal and throughout the summer, it struggled with Iowans.
     Politico had all but given Bernie up for the man in the shadows by September but he did something nobody expected, he did what George McGovern did in '72, he made Iowa a priority;
     "(WEST LIBERTY, Iowa) — Bernie Sanders was on the final leg of a barnstorming tour through Iowa last week that he hoped would persuade voters he’s the best candidate to take on President Donald Trump. He had crisscrossed the state at typical breakneck speed, visiting, in two days, five counties that had thrown their lot in with Trump after helping put Barack Obama in the White House." (Politico)
      It worked, his graph went north while everyone else's went south. He currently leads in Iowa and as the Groundhog would predict, he will win the caucus. Although Liz Warren spiked about the time Bernie had his heart attack, it became hers to lose and she did. The senior citizens in the race have vowed to release their medical records to show they are fit to be President, but that was back in September and there is no indication it has happened. As age became an issue, so did gender with criticism falling on whether a woman could make the grade as CEO of the USA. Most of that is already old news. Kit Norton reported in VT Digger of some other seemingly inconsequential news events regarding the Sanders effort that went unnoticed, at least until he became the frontrunner in Iowa. (VT Digger)


    But Bernie's real boost came, according to Punxsutawney Phil, when the White House announced that Senator Sanders was the front runner in Iowa, as reported by Kristen Fisher and Alex Pappas in Fox News;
     "President Trump’s re-election campaign is deeming Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders the indisputable frontrunner in the Democratic primary, as polling shows the Democratic socialist rising in Iowa just weeks before the caucuses kick off the nominating season.
'There is no mistaking that Bernie Sanders has to be considered the frontrunner now,' a senior Trump campaign official told Fox News on Monday." (Fox News)
     Although it is unclear just who the official was that made the statement, the spectre of defeat in the minds of the other candidates cannot be hidden in the shadow of Phil as the clock ticks down to Groundhog Day. The polls are bearing it out, the opposition has sanctioned it and now it is up to Punxsutawney Phil to formally announce it.
     What's in store for the losers? Nothing more than to be endlessly living the same day over and over again until they finally get it right.

Further Reading

AOC and Michael Moore urge Iowa voters not to 'play it safe' as they stand in for Sanders

Two of Bernie Sanders's highest-profile allies, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and liberal documentary filmmaker Michael Moore, filled in for him on the campaign trail Friday night, speaking to a rally here at the University of Iowa, as the Vermont senator participated in the impeachment trial

#IOWACAUCUS---NY Times Endorsements-- AGE-GENDER DOUBLE STANDARD

IMMEDIATE RELEASE///ATTN CD@TACNET FWD//CMD//BVIA JCL//UNCLASSIFIED Suddenly, it's all for a woman to be Commander-in-Chieftess, and Ms. POTUS. (The Den)--Only one time since the turn of the last century and its endorsement of William McKinley in 1900 has The New York Times endorsed a woman for president, and that was Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Sources
Wiki Phil, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punxsutawney_Phil
Des Moines Poll, https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/caucus/2020/01/12/election-2020-iowa-caucuses-how-candidates-have-performed-iowa-poll/4433074002/
Loyalty Oath, https://www.npr.org/2019/03/04/700121429/bernie-sanders-files-to-run-as-a-democrat-and-an-independent
Party-jumping, https://eyelessoncampus.blogspot.com/2020/01/iowacaucus-ny-times-endorsements-age.html
Forbes, https://www.forbes.com/sites/chasewithorn/2019/04/12/how-bernie-sanders-the-socialist-senator-amassed-a-25-million-fortune/#2b5697cc36bf
Barnstorming, https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/09/30/bernie-sanders-2020-election-decline-228755
Other Events, https://vtdigger.org/2019/09/19/bernies-bid-2020-sanders-shakes-up-staff-and-schedule/
Front Runner, https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-campaign-dubs-bernie-sanders-the-new-dem-frontrunner
Phil Photo, https://visitpago.com/bucket-list-experience-groundhog-day-in-punxsutawney/
Bill Murray Photo, https://variety.com/2018/film/news/groundhog-day-at-25-bill-murray-1202691391/

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