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Saturday, March 13, 2021

PANDEMIC PAPERS: V.1--Inorganic Spontaneous Generation & --NON-LINEAR THEORY

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     "...it is quite possible that the virus 'acted alone' in its own origin..."

     Incline Village, NV (Exclusive to EOC Lab)--Much has been made of the new world plague that originated in Wuhan, China. Or did it? Politicians and demagogues alike would lead us to believe it was manufactured in a secret project inside the bio-weapons lab located in that city. The online news media Politico ICU ward recently breathed new life into the Wuhan lab conspiracy theory;

     "In the spring of 2020, inside the U.S. government, some officials began to see and collect evidence of a different, perhaps more troubling theory—that the outbreak had a connection to one of the laboratories in Wuhan, among them the WIV, a world leading center of research on bat coronaviruses." (Rogin, Politico)


     A few paragraphs later, the author gave himself credit for warning the world of the impending disaster; still with no substantial proof. The article, shamefully, read like a Watergate investigator on the verge of breaking the big story, only to have the perpetrator resign before it was published. Based on a shallow and hastily drawn up report by the State Department in January of this year, Rogin drew several conclusions to affirm his suspicions, and sell his story. The problem with the Wuhan lab conspiracy theory is that it is credible, but that's about all. A few days later, the World Health Organization (WHO) sponsored a virtual event to refute the Wuhan lab theory, shifting instead the blame for the pandemic on unfettered  "wildlife trade" in the city, and elsewhere. (Bose, Hindustan Times)

     "There was a conduit from Wuhan to the provinces in South China, where the closest relative viruses [to the coronavirus] are found in bats.” (quoting Dr. Peter Daszak, zoologist)

Still, that doesn't draw any comfort as to its origin from the dark, gloomy caves in Asia to the hospital beds in Los Angeles and the morgues around the city. At the same time, the conflicting theories on the origin fall into what Patricia Roberts-Miller described in her groundbreaking work on politics, Demagoguery and Democracy, as a false dilemma;

     "occurs when a rhetor sets out a limited number of options, generally forcing one’s hand by forcing one to choose the option he or she wants. Were all the options laid out, then the situation would be more complicated, and the rhetor’s proposal might not look so good." (Miller, epub, 112-116)

Political expediency, according to Roberts-Miller, requires any dispute to be reduced to the binary either-or solution and the coronavirus origin theory is no exception. At first one might ask, what's the difference? Isn't it far more important to discover the ending, not the beginning? Yes and no. Yes because the species may not live to see it; no because there may be other just as credible, non-political, undemagoguery inviting theories for its origin. One such might go beyond the nature of  ordinary explanations of how new-millennia viruses develop and spread. 

     Classical definitions have to find, to "pinpoint" that exact location, like a first responder looking for the arsonist's gas can out in the forest. What if the outbreak, the fire came from a number of independent, but similar, circumstances, as witnessed by the devastating California dry lightning storms last summer? Certainly, the governor couldn't be recalled for that one, a purely natural phenomenon. If the governor, the lab staff and the politicians were eliminated from coronavirus theory, then the natural order is responsible but in an even more significant way than the WHO, "the fire started here" method. It is called "nonlinear systems theory;"

     "Nonlinear systems theory is a new scientific paradigm that developed out of the realization that apparently random variation can shape the irreversible evolutionary paths of complex systems." (Spencer-Wood, Hidawi)

     What exactly is that "random variation" attributed to the pandemic? Not so much that it appeared to have a linear evolution, but it began to take shape in a nonlinear fashion when mutations were discovered, continents apart. Even so, that "new scientific paradigm" needs to have more life breathed into it before becoming a viable theory to contend with the lab-marketplace political binary; that new life is a very old concept: spontaneous generation. That is spontaneous generation with a twist, inorganic rather than organic. That is, also drawing a fine line between what separates the two and into which category a virus falls. In her nonlinear model, Spencer-Wood states "Paradigms limit the patterns and processes we can perceive and analyze from data," which fits into the positivist process of observation based theory, making it possible to contain, and maintain, control over the environment, nature, and ultimately the civilized world. Depending on the viewpoint, it usually ends up meaning the male-dominated patriarchy which so reviles freedom seeking feminist radicals. That doesn't mean there isn't any merit to the concept, but the patriarchs don't want it as they will lose their grip on credibility, on scientific ethos. Spencer-Wood cites the (E.N., 1993) Lorenz model and the difference between nonlinear and chaos;


     "Lorenz distinguishes between chaotic systems and nonlinear systems. While all chaotic systems are nonlinear, not all nonlinear systems are chaotic. Both are sensitive to initial conditions, but nonlinear systems may converge on an earlier stable state after a perturbation, while chaotic systems do not. " ([6]: 163)

Drawing on that and the concept of spontaneous generation, it is quite possible that the virus "acted alone" in its own origin, without the help of a secret bioweapons lab or an unfettered wildlife trade market. Spontaneous generation, the archaic process by which life sprung from inorganic matter, combined with non-linear chaotic theory, yields a virus appearing  at random locations, at random times, in similar but random forms, with no distinct origin.  The theories behind spontaneous generation are far more complex, outdated, unrealistic and non-scientific to have any impact on the role of patriarchal positivism that is the foundation of the demagogue's binary perception of reality and nature as a servant of that vision. Those of nonlinear chaos are too modern for the archaic viewpoint of the fettered scientist, limited in his role by observation and current narrow paradigms that are for the most part under the censorship of the government. For that matter, a close reading of the Lorenz theory would only add more chaos to the limited insight necessary to bring an end to the pandemic, which should be the ultimate goal, not looking for the beginning. 

Cited:

Rogin, J., In 2018, Diplomats Warned of Risky Coronavirus Experiments in a Wuhan Lab. No One Listened. - POLITICO

State Dept. & Covid Origin, https://www.state.gov/ensuring-a-transparent-thorough-investigation-of-covid-19s-origin/

Bose, Joydeep, No evidence of Covid-19 leak from Wuhan lab, may have emerged from wildlife trade, say WHO scientists | Hindustan Times

Roberts-Miller, P., Demagoguery and Democracy, The Experiment, NY, epub, 2020

Dry lightning, LNU, CZU, SCU complex fires started by staggering lightning storm: WATCH - ABC7 San Francisco (abc7news.com)

Spencer-Wood, S., Nonlinear Systems Theory, Feminism, and Postprocessualism (hindawi.com)

Lorenz, TheEssenceOfChaos_Lorenz.pdf

Toker, A simple method for detecting chaos in nature | Communications Biology

Lab image 001: 19,368 Old Chemistry Lab Stock Photos, Pictures & Royalty-Free Images - iStock (istockphoto.com)

Lab image 002: Old Science Lab With Chemical Reagents And Burner Stock Image - Image of laboratory, chemistry: 138924571 (dreamstime.com)


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Thursday, March 4, 2021

PANDEMIC PHLOGISTON-- Dr. deFacto's Covid Coup--ANTIPOSITIVISM & 10TH AMENDMENT

 

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     "...many Republican state officials are showing no signs of relenting in their march against science." (Jon Skolnik, Salon)

     IV89451 (EOC Syndicated)--Of course that "march" began way back last year and continued recently when the forces of reason clashed with those of economics in a familiar place, the South. On the surface, it appears like yet another feud between the federal government and states rights with some of the initial individual rights surrounding mask mandates brought out the First Amendment advocates, it's actually the Tenth Amendment that is in the spotlight;


     "The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the states, are reserved to the states respectively, or to the people." (Cornell Law)

     The Tenth is by far the least used, with the far more popular First, Second and especially, the Fifth. But that's only part of the story; beyond it is the inherent trust in what's given the world everything from the airplane to the internet: science. The argument's been around ever since Lavoisier and company convinced his peers that phlogiston wasn't what fueled fire. (Britannica) The question now, however, is what's fueling the pandemic, and it may not just be related to coronavirus. The next question is, who's to blame for keeping the pandemic alive?  "Deep state," "conspiracy theory" and other hackneyed expressions just don't seem to give enough credit to where it's due since they only serve to create derision, distrust, animosity--there's probably more here-- in the general world weary population. Maybe there's a logical explanation somewhere. That might be found in the school of anti-positivism;

     "... the view in social science that the social realm may not be subject to the same methods of investigation as the natural world; that academics must reject empiricism and the scientific method in the conduct of social research." (positivists.org)

     In plain language, science as the golden rule for making laws regarding social behavior is rejected. Science may always be right due to its dependence on observation, experimentation and rigid rules of mathematics, biology and medicine, but right isn't always the best path when it comes to rhetoric. Those who have created  mandates that have consumed social life because of the pandemic are now being looked upon as stepping beyond those boundaries and intruding into personal and private lives; affecting education, employment and even survival. Those mandates might be summed up by the expression "Dr. deFacto's Covid Coup." 

     At first, the subtle rules appeared only as medical advice from the doctor; that was the role played by the former regime in the White House. Offered up were medicine wagon cures such as hydroxychloroquine followed by a bending of the charts to indicate an immediate path out of the oncoming disaster. When word got out that the strategic national stockpile was nothing more than empty warehouses, available ventilators were unserviceable, there weren't enough N-95 masks to go around even for medical staff nationwide and hospital beds were shamefully understaffed, panic began to grip America. Curiously, it showed up in an asymmetrical manner, such as a run on toilet paper in the supermarkets and Asian-American bashing; which, oddly enough, has increased as of late. These were non-scientific reactions to what became classified officially by Dr. deFacto as a pandemic. Only after the new regime assumed power in the federal government did the Covid Coup become exposed. The phlogiston theories evaporated when the casualty rate hit a half-million Americans.

     At the same time, an ice storm swept across the South, crippling the second largest contiguous state in the Union. The news that usually refers to this type of mega-event as a "game changer" were all silent. It was up to the governor of that state to come to his survival-instinct Neanderthal senses and invoke the Tenth Amendment. From a scientific standpoint it was a disastrous decision; from a rhetorical anti-positivist one, it was the correct one. Surrounding it, a bitter Hatfield-McCoy feud has erupted pitting the new federal regime's authority, as well as its credibility, against the will of the people, also left to the Tenth Amendment. It might be noted that the Republican incumbent, who lost a bitterly contested election last November, did carry the state. (Samuels, Texas Tribune)

     In the meantime, the White House is now faced with a dilemma; will other states go rogue like Texas and Mississippi, unmask its citizens and go for reopening? If anything, the old playbook inherited from the previous administration that placed Dr. deFacto's deep state phlogiston separate government in control of policy making, might well be ready for a reverse coup. That one will redefine the role of state governments and in the process, consider the social ramifications of the harsh medical procedures that have been erroneously credited to a certain ancient Greek legislator (Draco)  and place them back to where they rightfully belong--as loosely defined in Wikipedia-- the court of oral law and blood feud.



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