Saturday, March 29, 2025

7.7M Scale--Mandalay Earthquake--The Sagaing Fault


   Mandalay earthquake

A powerful earthquake struck Myanmar on March 28, 2025, causing widespread devastation. Below are key details:

Magnitude and Epicenter: The earthquake measured 7.7 on the moment magnitude scale, with its epicenter near Mandalay in the Sagaing Region. It was followed by over 70 aftershocks, the strongest being 6.7 in magnitude.

Casualties and Damage: The death toll has surpassed 1,600 in Myanmar, with over 3,400 injuries and hundreds missing. Neighboring Thailand reported at least 14 fatalities. Mandalay, Myanmar's second-largest city, experienced significant destruction, including collapsed buildings, bridges, and roads.

Impact on Infrastructure: The earthquake flattened homes, mosques, monasteries, and roads across Mandalay and Sagaing. In Bangkok, Thailand, a skyscraper under construction collapsed, leaving dozens trapped.

Challenges to Relief Efforts: Myanmar's ongoing civil war has complicated rescue operations. The military government has appealed for international aid, with countries like China pledging support.

Intensity: The quake reached a Modified Mercalli Intensity of IX (Violent), exposing millions to severe shaking. It is the most powerful earthquake in Myanmar since 1912.

Rescue efforts continue as authorities fear the death toll may rise further due to the extensive damage and challenging conditions

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/mandalay-earthquake-Tu3MaY_CQ7Oq3gxUEA5ZhQ

mandalay geologic fault

The Mandalay region in Myanmar is situated near the Sagaing Fault, a major geological fault line responsible for significant seismic activity in the country. The Sagaing Fault is a right-lateral strike-slip fault that forms the boundary between the Burma and Sunda tectonic plates. It extends approximately 1,400 km through Myanmar, passing near major cities such as Mandalay, Naypyidaw, and Yangon. The fault's motion occurs at a rate of 18–49 mm per year, making it one of the most active faults in Southeast Asia.

Recent Earthquake on the Sagaing Fault

On March 28, 2025, a magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck near Mandalay along the Sagaing Fault. The quake had a shallow depth of 10 km, which amplified its destructive impact. It was caused by strike-slip faulting, where two blocks of crust moved horizontally past each other. The rupture extended over 200 km and reached a maximum slip of 5.1 meters.

Historical and Geological Context

The Sagaing Fault has been the site of numerous large earthquakes in the past, including events in 1931 (M7.5), 1946 (M7.3 and M7.7), and 2012 (M6.9). Its southern segments have recurrence intervals of 100–150 years based on paleoseismological studies. The fault's linear nature allows for extensive energy transmission during seismic events, contributing to widespread damage.

Tectonic Setting

Myanmar's location between the Indian and Eurasian plates places it at high seismic risk. The Sagaing Fault connects the Andaman spreading center in the south to a collision zone in the north, making it a critical feature of regional tectonics.

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/mandalay-geologic-fault-JLXYBJ9HSViD1fBKqTO5hA


USGS

Tectonic Summary

The March 28, 2025, M7.7 earthquake near Mandalay, Burma (Myanmar), occurred as the result of strike slip faulting between the India and Eurasia plates. Focal mechanism solutions indicate that slip occurred on either a north-striking, steeply-dipping, right-lateral fault, or a west striking, steeply-dipping, left-lateral fault. The finite fault solution indicates a north striking right-lateral fault. This focal mechanism and finite fault solution are consistent with the earthquake potentially occurring on the right-lateral Sagaing Fault that lies in the fault zone that defines the plate boundary between the Indian and Sunda plates.

While commonly plotted as points on maps, earthquakes of this size are more appropriately described as slip over a larger fault area. The finite fault solution indicates the size of the March 28, 2025 event is about 200 km by 20 km (length x width).

This region has experience similar large strike slip earthquakes, with six other magnitude 7 and larger earthquakes occurring with about 150 miles (250 km) of the March 28, 2025 earthquake since 1900. The most recent of these was a magnitude 7.0 earthquake in January 1990, which caused 32 buildings to fall. A magnitude 7.9 earthquake occurred south of today’s earthquake in February 1912. Within this broad zone of tectonic deformation, other large earthquakes, including a magnitude 7.7 earthquake in 1988, have caused dozens of fatalities. 


(X:) https://x.com/jameslangelle



...


RED FLAG
Checkpoint Charlie: NATO, Article 5 and the Berlin Wall

There was no North American Treaty Organization, NATO, immediately following the close of World War Two. By the close of the decade, due to pressure from the Soviet Union, particularly in Germany, the alliance was formed with 12 initial members. The concept of “collective security” had been around for over 30 years, at least on the Continent, with respect to the World War One League of Nations; neither the United States nor the Soviet Union were members. (09 March 2025)
Red Flag: The U.S.-Japan Security Pact of 1960
The recent statement by the White House concerning a “bilateral” treaty between the United States and Japan from 1960 raised the issue of the former’s lack of a security-military commitment, with the latter doing the heavy lifting. It comes as no surprise in light of other treaties such as NATO in Europe with the U.S. again carrying The Weight.
Part and parcel to how it all unfolded had to do with certain ambiguous positions by the two nations coupled with the American public not totally informed of the agreement. The situation was quite different in Japan. (09 March 2025)

...


BORDERLANDS
Ukraine: The Art of the (Peace) Deal
Nations are big on treaties, enforcing them is another matter. This paper traces some of the more recent, failed and otherwise, then takes a close look at one of the most controversial in history, The Versailles Treaty at the end of World War One. (09 March 2025)

Ukraine and The Rubio Doctrine The purpose of this report is to test the secretary’s three core principles against the Ukraine conflict to see if they are viable and would have been if he became president in the 2015 election. (09 March 2025)

Ukraine Betrayed: American Robber Barons to Steal Rare Minerals
Ukraine possesses significant reserves of rare earth minerals and other critical raw materials that are essential for modern technology and industry. According to reports, Ukraine has deposits of 22 out of 34 minerals identified as critical by the European Union. (09 March 2025)

...


MOONDUNES
Space Station Freedom 1993: The “Fiscal Black Hole"

Space Station Freedom was a NASA-led initiative proposed in the 1980s aimed at creating a permanently crewed space station in low Earth orbit. The project was initially announced by President Ronald Reagan in his 1984 State of the Union Address, highlighting its potential as a platform for scientific research and international collaboration in space exploration. (09 March 2025)