Friday, November 15, 2024

#COP29BAKU--Climate Disaster in Honduras--TROPICAL STORM SARA FLOODS

 

WHITE LIGHTNING AI-RESEARCH//IMMEDREL//11/15/24/0930PST


#COP29BAKU Climate Emergency 11/15/24/0900PST: #Tropicalstorm in Central America, significant flooding in Honduras and Nicaragua, illustrates the need for immediate attention to Global South dire conditions brough on by #climate. #Trump plans to desert Paris Agreement and IRA out of step with reality.


(Image credit: La Prensa, Honduras, Tormenta Sara: tres desaparecidos y miles de afectados en Honduras)


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Sara climate disaster in Honduras


Tropical Storm Sara has made landfall in Honduras, bringing significant rainfall and posing severe risks of flooding and mudslides. Here are the key details regarding the situation:

Storm Overview

  • Landfall: Sara made landfall late on November 14, 2024, near the border of Honduras and Nicaragua, approximately 100 miles west-northwest of Cabo Gracias a Dios
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  • Wind Speeds: The storm has sustained winds of around 45 mph (72 km/h) and is moving west at about 10 mph (16 km/h)
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Impact on Honduras

  • Rainfall Projections: The National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasts that parts of northern Honduras could receive between 10 to 30 inches (25 to 76 cm) of rain, leading to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides
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  • Affected Population: Over 20,500 people have already been impacted by the storm, with reports of 570 evacuations and several communities cut off due to flooding
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    .     At least three individuals are reported missing
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  • Emergency Response: The Honduran emergency management agency (COPECO) has issued red alerts for four Caribbean departments—Islas de la Bahía, Atlántida, Colón, and Gracias a Dios—urging evacuations from high-risk areas
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Broader Regional Effects

  • Regional Alerts: Other Central American countries, including Belize and parts of Nicaragua, are also under alert as Sara is expected to continue affecting the region through the weekend. Heavy rainfall is also anticipated in El Salvador and Guatemala
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  • Potential for Further Development: After impacting Honduras, Sara is projected to move toward Belize and Mexico's Yucatán Peninsula, where it may bring additional rainfall and flooding risks
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Climate Context

This storm is part of a highly active Atlantic hurricane season, attributed in part to unusually warm sea temperatures linked to climate change. Sara is the 18th named storm of the season, which has seen an increase in tropical activity compared to typical November patterns
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.Authorities are urging residents to stay vigilant and heed evacuation orders as the situation develops.


sara severe flooding in central america



Tropical Storm Sara has formed in the Caribbean and is currently impacting Central America, particularly Honduras, with severe flooding and mudslide risks. The storm made landfall late on November 14, 2024, near the Honduras-Nicaragua border and is expected to bring catastrophic rainfall totals.

Key Developments

  • Heavy Rainfall Forecast: Up to 40 inches of rain is anticipated in northern Honduras, with 30 inches projected in some areas. This extreme rainfall poses significant risks of flash flooding and mudslides across the region
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  • Current Impact: As of November 15, over 20,500 people in Honduras have been affected by the storm. Reports indicate that at least 3 people are missing, and numerous communities are cut off due to flooding. Authorities have activated emergency responses, including shelter provisions for those displaced
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  • Storm Movement: Sara is moving slowly westward along the northern coast of Honduras at about 9 mph, with sustained winds reaching 45 mph. The storm is expected to linger near the coast through the weekend before potentially moving towards Belize and the Yucatán Peninsula
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  • Regional Alerts: Tropical storm warnings are in effect for coastal areas of Honduras and Nicaragua. Other countries in Central America, including Belize and El Salvador, are also bracing for heavy rains
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Future Projections

While Sara is expected to weaken as it interacts with land, it may still pose threats as it moves towards Belize and possibly into the Gulf of Mexico next week. The longer-term forecast remains uncertain, but there is potential for the remnants of Sara to influence weather patterns in Florida later next week
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Summary

Tropical Storm Sara represents a significant weather event for Central America, particularly Honduras, where extreme rainfall has already begun to cause serious flooding issues. Continued monitoring and emergency preparations are crucial as the storm progresses through the region.


tropical storm sara us landfall


Tropical Storm Sara made landfall late on November 14, 2024, near the Honduras-Nicaragua border, approximately 105 miles west-northwest of Cabo Gracias a Dios. The storm brought sustained winds of about 45 mph and is expected to cause significant rainfall across Central America, with projections of 10 to 20 inches in many areas and isolated regions possibly receiving up to 30 inches
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Current Situation

  • Impact on Honduras: Sara has already affected over 20,500 people in Honduras, leading to flooding and mudslide risks. Authorities have issued alerts for multiple departments, and some communities are reported to be cut off due to the storm's effects
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    .     The storm is anticipated to linger along the Honduran coast through the weekend.
  • Forecast Path: After impacting Honduras, Sara is expected to move towards Belize and the Yucatán Peninsula in Mexico. It may pass close to the tourist destination of Roatan on Sunday before shifting northwestward
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Potential U.S. Impact

While there is uncertainty regarding Sara's strength as it approaches the Gulf of Mexico, current forecasts suggest it may weaken significantly after moving inland over Central America. However, if it remains close to the coast and over warm waters, it could strengthen again before potentially impacting Florida later next week
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. Florida residents are advised to monitor updates closely as the situation evolves
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Conclusion

Tropical Storm Sara poses immediate threats of severe flooding and landslides in Central America, particularly in Honduras. Its future trajectory remains uncertain, but it could affect parts of the U.S., particularly Florida, depending on its path and intensity in the coming days.


Tormenta Sara: tres desaparecidos y miles de afectados en Honduras

WHITE LIGHTNING AI-RESEARCH//IMMEDREL//11/15/24/0930PST
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